NDP Lead Sustains

The following projection drawn from a blended sample of polls conducted between July 3 and 16 among approximately 7500 respondents, produced a seat distribution almost identical to that of the previous month among a completely different set of interviews. The similar totals masked a number of regional differences that largely offset each other. The New Democratic Party performance improved from June in Atlantic Canada and the West, particularly in British Columbia, but it diminished somewhat in Ontario and Quebec.

Projected distribution of seats by party and region compared with actual election results (in brackets), released July 23, 2015.

  conservative liberal ndp bq
      Other     

Canada

119(166)
85(34)
129(103)
4(4)
1(1)

Atlantic provinces

7(14)
17(12)
8(6)
--
--

Quebec

9(5)
13(7)
52(59)
4(4)
--

Ontario

53(73)
39(11)
29(22)
--
--

Prairies & North

14(26)
7(2)
10(3)
--
--

Alberta

26(27)
2(0)
6(1)
--
--

British Columbia

10(21)
7(2)
24(12)
--
1(1)

 

Level of Government: