Ontario election post-mortem
Submitted by Barry Kay on Mon, 06/11/2018 - 06:42This is intended as a brief summary of the final LISPOP projection and map. Our final numbers suggested the Conservatives would take 69 seats, the NDP 50, the Liberals 4 and Greens 1. However as noted in that piece, it was based upon an aggregated assumption of popular vote at Cons 38%, NDP 37% and Libs 19%. The Liberal figure was close, but the latest data available suggest the Conservative margin over the NDP was in fact almost 7 points, 40.5% to 33.7%.