Geoffrey Stevens's blog

Beware claims of accuracy in political polling

“Indeed! It illustrates why the ritualistic ‘within three per cent 19 times in 20’ is nonsense, when less than 10 per cent of people respond to polls.” – Political Scientist Barry Kay, Wilfrid Laurier University

Professor Kay was commenting via email on four new federal election polls in the past week. Two polls put the Conservatives ahead of the Liberals – one by six points, the other by eight points. The other two had the Liberals ahead – one by one point, the other by six points.

A few sensible ways to improve our childish and inefficient Parliament

Every now and again – perhaps once in a political blue moon – a really good idea emerges, one that is so sensible that you might think our elected representatives would trip over themselves to claim ownership.

The idea for this blue moon emerges, or re-emerges, in a new book by Dave Meslin, a Toronto-based artist, activist and community organizer, entitled “Teardown: Rebuilding Democracy from the Ground Up.”

Enough already! It’s time for carbon tax opponents to fold their tents

It is time that climate change deniers, doubters and skeptics – along with the provincial and federal politicians who seek to advance partisan agendas by playing bootless legal and constitutional games with the carbon tax issue – folded their tents.

It is time they stopped wasting millions of taxpayer dollars on court challenges to the federal government’s carbon pricing regime – the 2018 Greenhouse Gas Pollution Pricing Act, to give it its official name. It is time they stopped misleading the public about Ottawa’s anti-pollution strategy.

Is disillusion with Trudeau powerful enough to elect Scheer in October?

The Liberals won the federal election of 2015 for two main reasons.

The first reason: Justin Trudeau was not Stephen Harper. After nine-plus years of Conservative government – the last four with a majority – the country was weary of Harper and his party and it embraced Trudeau as the agent of change.